July 5, 2024

Six weeks ago, when Leicester City checked in their rearview mirror, Leeds and Ipswich were mere dots in the distance. Now, as the run-in begins, they’ve been overtaken by Daniel Farke’s side on goal difference and are just one point ahead of Kieran McKenna’s Tractor Boys, albeit with a game in hand on both.

It’s all very tight at the top. It looks like it’s going to go to the wire. But what happens if it’s so tight that teams finish level on points, goal difference, and goals scored? It’s not out of the question, particularly between City and Leeds.

Right now, they’re on the same number of points, and are separated by just one on goal difference. Their goals for and against records are fairly similar too. City’s reads 74-33, with Leeds on 70-28. There are enough games over the next six weeks for those to align.

If they do match each other in all those areas, then it’s Leeds who will finish higher on account of the clubs’ head-to-head record. Leeds beat City 1-0 at the King Power Stadium and then 3-1 at Elland Road last month.

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