Way Too Early 2025 Game-by-Game Projections for Alabama Football

As the 2024 college football season reaches its mid-point, Alabama fans and analysts alike are already turning their eyes to the future, with a particular focus on the 2025 season. Under the leadership of head coach Nick Saban, Alabama has remained one of the most dominant programs in the country, consistently contending for national championships. As the Crimson Tide continues to reload with elite recruits, talented transfers, and a top-tier coaching staff, the 2025 season promises to be another exciting chapter in Alabama’s storied history. However, as always, the road to a potential national title is full of challenges, and projecting the 2025 season is a difficult task.

Although it is still far from certain which players will rise to the occasion or which matchups will take place, one thing is for sure: the 2025 schedule will be full of marquee games that will test the mettle of Alabama’s elite squad. In this article, we’ll take a way-too-early look at Alabama’s 2025 game-by-game projections, examining the key matchups, potential challenges, and the team’s chances for success in each contest.

1. Alabama vs. Middle Tennessee State (Home) – September 6

The 2025 season will kick off with what is expected to be a relatively easy game for the Crimson Tide, as they host Middle Tennessee State at Bryant-Denny Stadium. While Middle Tennessee has been competitive in Conference USA, this matchup is unlikely to pose much of a threat to Alabama’s depth and talent. Expect Alabama to roll to a dominant victory, with its offense and defense overwhelming the Blue Raiders.

Projection: Win (1-0)

2. Alabama vs. Texas (Home) – September 13

This game against Texas will be one of the most intriguing matchups of the 2025 season. The Longhorns, under head coach Steve Sarkisian, are building something special in Austin, and they will likely be a strong contender in the Big 12 by 2025. Alabama and Texas have faced off in recent seasons, and this rematch at Bryant-Denny will feature a clash of two top-tier programs. While Alabama’s roster will likely have the edge in terms of talent, Texas has the potential to challenge the Crimson Tide, especially if their quarterback situation is stable and their defense has progressed.

This game could be a shootout, but expect Alabama to use its depth and experience to pull away in the second half.

Projection: Win (2-0)

3. Alabama vs. Ole Miss (Away) – September 20

Lane Kiffin’s Ole Miss Rebels have become one of the most unpredictable teams in the SEC. With an explosive offense and creative playcalling, Ole Miss has the potential to put up a fight against even the best teams in the conference. The 2025 matchup will be in Oxford, where Alabama has historically had some of its toughest games. While Alabama should still be favored due to its talent and defense, this could be a tricky road test, particularly if Ole Miss has a potent quarterback and a high-powered offense.

Projection: Win (3-0)

4. Alabama vs. Mississippi State (Home) – September 27

Mississippi State will have a new look in 2025 after the departure of Mike Leach, but it’s unlikely that the Bulldogs will be a major threat to Alabama’s dominance in this game. The Crimson Tide have consistently owned the matchup against Mississippi State in recent years, and the Bulldogs’ offense will need significant improvements to hang with Alabama’s defense. Even on a rebuilding year, Alabama should handle Mississippi State with ease.

Projection: Win (4-0)

5. Alabama vs. Arkansas (Away) – October 4

Sam Pittman has done a great job of building Arkansas into a solid SEC contender, and by 2025, the Razorbacks could be a team to watch. Arkansas has a tough, physical brand of football, and playing in Fayetteville is always a challenge for Alabama. However, Alabama’s talent should still be too much for Arkansas to overcome, even in a hostile environment. This will be one of the closer games of the year, but Alabama should escape with a victory.

Projection: Win (5-0)

6. Alabama vs. Texas A&M (Home) – October 11

Texas A&M is always a formidable opponent, and by 2025, the Aggies could very well have turned the corner under head coach Jimbo Fisher. The Aggies have recruited at a high level, and with a few years of development, they could pose a significant challenge to Alabama. With this game taking place at Bryant-Denny, Alabama will have the advantage, but Texas A&M’s roster will likely keep it competitive for most of the contest.

Projection: Win (6-0)

7. Alabama vs. Tennessee (Away) – October 18

Tennessee, under Josh Heupel, has emerged as one of the most exciting teams in the SEC with its fast-paced offense. The Volunteers will likely be one of Alabama’s toughest challenges in 2025, especially with the game being held at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee has given Alabama some trouble in recent years, and the 2025 edition could be no different. While Alabama is the more talented team, the high-energy environment in Knoxville and Tennessee’s offensive scheme could make this game a nail-biter.

Projection: Win (7-0)

8. Alabama vs. LSU (Home) – October 25

This matchup against LSU will be one of the defining games of the season. LSU, under Brian Kelly, has become a consistent powerhouse in the SEC, and the Tigers are always a tough opponent for Alabama. This game will likely have huge implications for both the SEC West title and the College Football Playoff race. Alabama’s home-field advantage and the experience of its roster should give it the edge, but LSU will not go down easily.

Projection: Win (8-0)

9. Alabama vs. Auburn (Away) – November 1

The Iron Bowl is always a must-watch, no matter the records of the two teams. Auburn’s struggles in recent years have made this rivalry a bit one-sided, but the Tigers will always be motivated to give Alabama their best shot in this heated rivalry. While Auburn could be a feisty underdog in 2025, Alabama’s superior talent and depth should be enough to secure a comfortable victory.

Projection: Win (9-0)

10. Alabama vs. Florida (Neutral Site, SEC Championship) – December 6

By the time the SEC Championship rolls around, Alabama is likely to be one of the top teams in the country, and a matchup against a rising Florida team could be an intriguing challenge. Florida, under its new coaching staff, might be in the midst of a competitive rebuilding process by 2025. Alabama’s dominance in the SEC, however, should shine through, as the Crimson Tide will be the more polished and prepared team.

Projection: Win (10-0)

11. College Football Playoff

With an undefeated record heading into the College Football Playoff, Alabama will be a favorite to make a deep run. The exact matchups will depend on the results from other conferences, but it’s safe to say that Alabama’s roster will be among the top contenders. Whether they face another SEC power like Georgia or an upstart program, Alabama’s talent and coaching staff will give them the edge in most playoff scenarios.

Projection: College Football Playoff Final Appearance