Expert Predictions for the First Round of the College Football Playoffs: Texas vs. Clemson

The College Football Playoff (CFP) is an event that annually brings immense anticipation, as the best teams in college football battle it out for a national championship. With the 2024 season seeing its fair share of surprises, the first-round matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Clemson Tigers has the sports world buzzing. The Longhorns, led by a revived program, face off against the traditional powerhouse of Clemson, which has had its own struggles and triumphs in recent seasons.

As the clock ticks down to the game, expert predictions are flying in from all corners of the college football universe. What do analysts think about the matchup? How do the strengths and weaknesses of both teams align with one another? And who will ultimately come out on top? Let’s break down the key factors that will influence this pivotal first-round game.

Overview of Texas and Clemson’s 2024 Seasons

Texas Longhorns

The Texas Longhorns have been one of the most impressive teams in college football this season, largely thanks to their high-powered offense and stellar defense. Coach Steve Sarkisian has solidified himself as a top-tier coach, and his offense has become one of the most dynamic in the nation. The Longhorns enter the playoff with a 12-1 record, their only loss coming at the hands of a tough opponent early in the season. Their balance on offense, with a strong running game and explosive passing attack, has helped them stay at the top of the rankings.

Quarterback Quinn Ewers has played at an elite level, displaying both precision and poise in clutch moments. The emergence of running back Jonathon Brooks, who has been a workhorse all season, has made Texas’s offense even more difficult to stop. On defense, the Longhorns boast one of the most aggressive units in the country, led by star linebacker Jalen Ford, who has been a game-changer for the team. The Texas defense is ranked among the top 10 in the nation in points allowed, and their ability to pressure the quarterback and force turnovers will be key in this matchup.

Clemson Tigers

Clemson, a team that has dominated college football for much of the last decade, has had its fair share of struggles this season. After the departure of legendary head coach Dabo Swinney’s long-time offensive coordinator, the Tigers have been adjusting to a new style of play. Despite a few bumps along the way, Clemson managed to secure a 11-2 record, with their only losses coming to top-tier opponents in the ACC and a non-conference powerhouse. Though they are not the same juggernaut they once were, Clemson remains a formidable force in college football, and their experience in high-stakes games gives them an advantage.

The Tigers’ quarterback situation has been somewhat inconsistent throughout the season, but Cade Klubnik has stepped up as the starter, showing flashes of brilliance. However, he has struggled with turnovers at times, which could be a critical factor against a team like Texas, which excels at forcing mistakes. Clemson’s offense still revolves around their dynamic running game, led by running back Will Shipley, who is capable of breaking out for big plays at any time.

On the defensive side of the ball, Clemson remains one of the most disciplined and physical teams in the country. Led by standout defensive linemen like Myles Murphy and a deep linebacker corps, Clemson’s defense is well-suited to disrupt opposing offenses. They will need to bring their A-game against a high-scoring Texas team.

Key Matchup: Texas Offense vs. Clemson Defense

One of the most intriguing aspects of this game is the battle between Texas’s high-flying offense and Clemson’s stout defense. Texas’s offensive line has been rock solid all season, providing quarterback Quinn Ewers with ample time in the pocket. Ewers has flourished this year, throwing for over 3,500 yards with 35 touchdowns to just 7 interceptions. His connection with star wide receiver Xavier Worthy is one of the best in college football, and they will look to exploit any weakness in the Clemson secondary.

Clemson’s defense, while not as dominant as in years past, is still one of the best in the country. The Tigers have been able to pressure the quarterback and limit big plays, but the Longhorns’ offensive diversity will test them in ways they haven’t been challenged before. Clemson’s defensive line, anchored by Myles Murphy, will need to find a way to disrupt Ewers, forcing him into uncomfortable situations. The secondary, while talented, has been known to struggle with elite wide receivers, and that is where Texas could have the edge.

Expect the Tigers to mix up their defensive schemes, with blitzes and man-to-man coverage, in an effort to rattle Ewers and limit the Texas passing game. However, Texas’s ability to establish the run with Jonathon Brooks will also be a key component. If the Longhorns can keep Clemson’s defense honest by moving the ball on the ground, they will have more success in the passing game.

Key Matchup: Clemson Offense vs. Texas Defense

While Clemson’s offense has been up and down this season, they will need to put together their best performance if they are to keep pace with Texas’s offense. The quarterback play, particularly from Cade Klubnik, will be critical. Klubnik has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been prone to costly mistakes. Against a Texas defense that thrives on creating turnovers, Klubnik will need to play smart, avoid risky throws, and rely on his running game to set up manageable third downs.

Running back Will Shipley is the focal point of Clemson’s offense, and he has the potential to wear down opposing defenses with his physical running style. If Clemson can establish the run early, it will allow Klubnik to utilize play-action and avoid putting too much pressure on the passing game. Texas’s defense, which is among the nation’s best at stopping the run, will be tasked with limiting Shipley’s big plays. Jalen Ford and the Texas linebackers will need to stay disciplined, ensuring that Shipley doesn’t break off long runs.

However, Texas’s secondary is a major strength. Led by cornerback Terrance Brooks and safety Keaton Crawford, the Longhorns have the ability to shut down even the most talented receiving corps. If Texas can stifle Clemson’s passing attack and force Klubnik into predictable situations, the Tigers could struggle to find success.

Coaching and Game Management

One of the most important factors in this game will be the decisions made by the two head coaches: Steve Sarkisian of Texas and Dabo Swinney of Clemson. Both have experience on the big stage, but Swinney has a distinct advantage in terms of playoff and championship game experience. Swinney’s ability to adjust in high-pressure situations has been a hallmark of his career, and he will need to draw on all of his knowledge to guide Clemson through this difficult matchup.

Sarkisian, while less seasoned in the playoffs, has a reputation for being an innovative play-caller. His ability to out-scheme defenses, particularly with his use of motion and multiple personnel packages, will be key to keeping Clemson off balance. Additionally, Sarkisian’s trust in his talented quarterbacks and running backs will allow him to maintain a balanced offense, which is crucial against a defense as strong as Clemson’s.

Both coaches will need to manage the game carefully, especially when it comes to clock management and in-game adjustments. If the game is close in the second half, small decisions like field position and the ability to execute in crunch time will determine the outcome.

Expert Predictions

Prediction 1: Texas 31, Clemson 24

Experts are largely leaning toward Texas in this matchup due to their offensive firepower and improved defense. Texas has shown the ability to score quickly and often, and while Clemson’s defense is elite, they may not be able to contain Texas for an entire game. The Longhorns will exploit Clemson’s secondary, and their defense will make enough stops to win the game.

Prediction 2: Texas 27, Clemson 20

While many expect a high-scoring affair, some experts are predicting that this will be a closer, low-scoring contest. Texas’s defense has been solid, and if they can stifle Clemson’s running game, it will force Klubnik into passing situations where mistakes could happen. Expect the game to come down to late-game execution, with Texas making one or two key stops to secure a victory.

Prediction 3: Clemson 28, Texas 24

A few experts believe that Clemson’s playoff experience and ability to control the tempo with their running game could be enough to upend Texas. If the Tigers can keep Ewers off the field and limit the Longhorns’ offensive opportunities, Clemson may have enough firepower to pull off the upset. Klubnik playing a mistake-free game and Shipley breaking a few big runs could be the difference.