College Football Playoff: Ohio State vs. Texas – Prediction, Updated Odds, Expert Picks, Quarterback Matchup, and Stats
The College Football Playoff (CFP) has become one of the most highly anticipated events in college sports, attracting millions of viewers every year. The 2025 edition is no exception, with the Ohio State Buckeyes facing off against the Texas Longhorns in a matchup that promises to be a thrilling contest. This article dives into the prediction for the game, updated odds, expert picks, quarterback matchup, and key stats, offering a comprehensive preview of this high-stakes showdown.
The Stage: College Football Playoff Semifinals
As the 2025 season concludes, Ohio State and Texas have emerged as two of the top teams in college football, securing spots in the CFP semifinals. The winner of this game will advance to the National Championship, with a chance to claim the ultimate prize in college football: the national title.
For Ohio State, this is another step in their quest to reclaim glory after years of competing at the highest level. The Buckeyes, with their rich history and tradition of excellence, have been regulars in the CFP, consistently contending for championships. Under head coach Ryan Day, Ohio State has consistently been a powerhouse, and this year, they look to break through once more.
Texas, on the other hand, has experienced a resurgence under head coach Steve Sarkisian. After years of mediocrity, the Longhorns have found their stride, propelled by a potent offense and an improving defense. Texas fans are optimistic that this could be the season they end a 15-year drought without a national championship. A victory over Ohio State would send a resounding message about the future of the Longhorns’ program.
Updated Odds for the Game
The matchup between Ohio State and Texas is expected to be a tightly contested battle, and the odds reflect that sentiment. As of the latest reports, sportsbooks have placed Ohio State as a slight favorite in this contest. The updated odds are as follows:
- Ohio State -2.5 (Ohio State is favored by 2.5 points)
- Over/Under: 58.5 points
These odds suggest that experts are expecting a relatively close game, with Ohio State being considered the more well-rounded team, but with Texas possessing the potential to pull off an upset. The over/under of 58.5 points reflects the high-scoring nature of both teams’ offenses, with both schools known for explosive plays and capable quarterbacks.
Expert Picks and Predictions
Leading up to the College Football Playoff semifinal, experts from around the country have weighed in on the matchup between Ohio State and Texas. While predictions are often difficult to make in such high-pressure games, several key factors are being analyzed in the buildup.
Ohio State’s Strengths:
Ohio State is known for its dynamic offense and solid defense, both of which have been pillars of their success this season. On offense, the Buckeyes have one of the most talented and explosive wide receiver corps in the nation, led by Marvin Harrison Jr., who has been a matchup nightmare for defenders all year. Coupled with a strong offensive line and capable running backs, Ohio State’s offense is balanced and versatile. Defensively, Ohio State has been able to stifle opposing offenses with an aggressive pass rush and lockdown cornerbacks.
Texas’ Strengths:
Texas, meanwhile, has been riding the arm of quarterback Quinn Ewers, who has shown flashes of brilliance throughout the season. With a strong receiving corps and a capable offensive line, Ewers has had the freedom to control the game and make big plays downfield. The Longhorns’ defense, while not as dominant as Ohio State’s, has been opportunistic and effective, especially in key moments. Texas has had some ups and downs defensively this season, but they have stepped up in the biggest games when it mattered most.
The Prediction:
Experts are split on who will emerge victorious, but the majority are leaning towards Ohio State for their overall team balance and experience in big-game situations. While Texas has the firepower to make it a close game, Ohio State’s depth and star power across both sides of the ball are difficult to ignore. Expect a close, hard-fought contest, with Ohio State pulling away in the second half.
Final Score Prediction: Ohio State 31, Texas 27
Quarterback Matchup: Quinn Ewers vs. Kyle McCord
When it comes to high-stakes games, the quarterback position is often the most pivotal, and this CFP semifinal is no exception. Ohio State’s Kyle McCord and Texas’ Quinn Ewers will face off in what promises to be an exciting duel between two of college football’s top signal-callers.
Quinn Ewers (Texas):
Quinn Ewers, the former No. 1 recruit, has had a highly anticipated college career, and 2025 is shaping up to be the year he fully lives up to that potential. Standing at 6’2” and possessing a strong arm, Ewers has shown the ability to throw deep with accuracy and precision. His ability to stretch the field is a critical element of Texas’ offense. Ewers has thrown for over 3,500 yards this season, with 35 touchdowns and only 7 interceptions. He’s been especially effective in the red zone and has shown poise under pressure. His decision-making has improved as the season has gone on, and he will need to play a near-perfect game to defeat Ohio State.
Kyle McCord (Ohio State):
Kyle McCord, on the other hand, has been a steady force for Ohio State in his first season as the starting quarterback. A talented prospect in his own right, McCord has been efficient in managing Ohio State’s offense. He’s thrown for over 3,200 yards this season, with 28 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. McCord has the luxury of playing behind a potent running game, which opens up play-action opportunities. His calm demeanor and ability to make quick decisions under pressure have been key to Ohio State’s success this season. Like Ewers, McCord will need to avoid turnovers and keep the offense on schedule to ensure victory.
Quarterback X-Factor:
Both quarterbacks have the potential to make big plays, but the winner of this game will likely be the quarterback who can minimize mistakes. If Ewers can continue his impressive play and capitalize on deep-ball opportunities, Texas could shock the Buckeyes. However, McCord’s experience in big games and ability to distribute the ball effectively make Ohio State the safer bet. Ultimately, it will come down to which quarterback can elevate their team when the game is on the line.
Key Stats to Watch
- Ohio State’s Defense vs. Texas’ Offense:
Ohio State’s defense has been one of the best in the nation, ranked 4th in points allowed per game (16.3). They have a stout defensive line, capable of getting pressure on the quarterback and stopping the run. Texas will need to effectively execute their passing game, with Ewers finding his playmakers in the vertical game to keep Ohio State’s defense on its heels. - Texas’ Run Defense:
Texas’ run defense has been solid this season, but Ohio State boasts a dangerous ground game, led by running back TreVeyon Henderson. Henderson has been the engine for the Buckeyes, averaging over 5 yards per carry. If Texas can slow down the run game, it will force McCord into passing situations, giving their defense a better chance at success. - Third Down Efficiency:
One of the key stats for this game will be third-down efficiency. Both teams have been effective at converting on third down, with Ohio State ranking 5th in the country in third-down conversion rate (49.4%). Texas is not far behind, ranking 12th (45.1%). The team that can consistently stay on the field and sustain drives will have a significant advantage in this game.
