Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Odds, Prediction: 2025 College Football Playoff National Championship Computer Picks
The 2025 College Football Playoff (CFP) National Championship is shaping up to be a classic showdown, as the Ohio State Buckeyes face off against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Both teams have had impressive seasons, overcoming difficult schedules and demonstrating championship-caliber talent. With the final game of the 2024-2025 season on the line, the Ohio State-Notre Dame matchup is expected to be one of the most thrilling and highly anticipated games in recent college football history. As fans and analysts eagerly await this contest, computer models and betting odds are starting to provide insight into what to expect from both teams on the biggest stage in college football.
In this article, we will break down the odds, team strengths, weaknesses, and key players to watch for in the upcoming College Football Playoff National Championship. Additionally, we will provide predictions based on computer algorithms and expert analysis to offer a comprehensive overview of how the 2025 CFP National Championship could play out.
Ohio State’s Road to the Championship
Ohio State enters the 2025 CFP National Championship with one of the most dominant teams in college football. The Buckeyes, led by head coach Ryan Day, have made a habit of making deep runs in the College Football Playoff, and this year has been no different. After a challenging regular season, which included games against high-caliber Big Ten opponents and some nationally ranked non-conference teams, Ohio State emerged as one of the top teams in the country.
One of the most impressive aspects of Ohio State’s season has been its defense. Under defensive coordinator Jim Knowles, the Buckeyes have built one of the most formidable defenses in college football, particularly in the front seven. Ohio State’s defensive line, led by standout pass rushers and defensive tackles, has wreaked havoc on opposing offenses all year. The defense ranks highly in pass defense and rush defense, which will be crucial in neutralizing Notre Dame’s dual-threat attack in the National Championship.
On offense, Ohio State has been explosive. Quarterback Kyle McCord, a former highly rated recruit, has stepped up in a big way for the Buckeyes, throwing for impressive yardage and touchdowns throughout the season. Wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. has emerged as one of the top wideouts in college football, with exceptional route running, speed, and catching ability. The Buckeyes also have a strong running game, anchored by a stable of talented backs, which provides them with a balanced offensive attack.
However, as has been the case with Ohio State in previous seasons, there are questions regarding the consistency of McCord’s play. While the quarterback has shown flashes of brilliance, there have been moments in big games where he has struggled to connect with his receivers or make key throws under pressure. Ohio State’s offense, while powerful, must find a way to execute efficiently against Notre Dame’s solid defense in the National Championship.
Notre Dame’s Road to the Championship
Notre Dame enters the 2025 CFP National Championship as one of the most well-rounded teams in the nation. Under head coach Marcus Freeman, the Fighting Irish have demonstrated an excellent blend of offensive explosiveness and defensive physicality. Notre Dame’s road to the championship has been defined by gritty wins against top-tier teams, including highly ranked opponents in the ACC and independent programs.
The offense has been led by quarterback Sam Hartman, who has proven to be one of the most effective quarterbacks in college football this season. After transferring from Wake Forest, Hartman has adapted quickly to the Fighting Irish system, bringing leadership and precision to the offense. Hartman’s ability to manage the game, make quick decisions, and throw with accuracy has made him a major asset. Additionally, Notre Dame’s ground game, spearheaded by running back Audric Estime, has been a major factor in their success. Estime’s physical running style has given the Fighting Irish the ability to control the clock and wear down opposing defenses.
On the defensive side, Notre Dame has been dominant as well. The Fighting Irish feature a hard-hitting, aggressive defense that has been successful at shutting down some of the best offenses in the country. Notre Dame’s front seven, led by standout linebacker J.D. Bertrand and defensive linemen who can generate consistent pressure, has been stout against both the run and the pass. The secondary, which features strong coverage players, has the ability to lock down receivers and make crucial stops.
While Notre Dame’s defense has been exceptional, the key for them in the National Championship will be how they handle Ohio State’s dynamic offense. The Fighting Irish’s defensive line will need to find ways to disrupt McCord and prevent him from connecting with Harrison and the other wideouts. If Notre Dame’s defense can keep Ohio State’s explosive playmakers in check, the Fighting Irish will have a solid chance of coming away with the victory.
Key Players to Watch
- Kyle McCord (Ohio State Quarterback)
McCord is perhaps the most important player on the field for Ohio State. His ability to read the defense, make quick decisions, and execute under pressure will be critical in determining the outcome of the game. The Ohio State offense relies heavily on McCord’s passing game, and he will need to perform at his best to outduel Notre Dame’s defense. - Marvin Harrison Jr. (Ohio State Wide Receiver)
One of the most dynamic playmakers in college football, Harrison has the potential to break open a game with his speed, athleticism, and ability to make spectacular catches. If McCord can get Harrison involved early, Ohio State’s offense will have a major advantage. - Audric Estime (Notre Dame Running Back)
Estime’s powerful running style will be a key weapon for Notre Dame. If he can control the clock and create a physical presence on the ground, it could help the Fighting Irish maintain balance and keep Ohio State’s high-powered offense off the field. - Sam Hartman (Notre Dame Quarterback)
Hartman has been an outstanding leader for Notre Dame this season. His poise, decision-making, and ability to make big throws under pressure will be crucial for the Fighting Irish to have a chance against Ohio State’s defense. Hartman must find ways to exploit Ohio State’s secondary and keep the defense on its heels. - J.T. Tuimoloau (Ohio State Defensive End)
One of the top defensive players in college football, Tuimoloau’s ability to get after the quarterback and disrupt plays will be essential in this matchup. If he can put pressure on Hartman, it could force Notre Dame’s offense into mistakes and limit their scoring opportunities.
Betting Odds and Prediction
As we look at the odds for this game, the matchup between Ohio State and Notre Dame is a tightly contested one. The Buckeyes are currently favored by a small margin, with the point spread sitting at Ohio State -3.5. This indicates that, while Ohio State is seen as the stronger team on paper, the game is expected to be closely contested, with Notre Dame having a real shot at an upset.
The over/under for the game is set at 58 points, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring affair between two potent offenses. Both teams have explosive players who can change the game with a single play, so it’s no surprise that oddsmakers believe there will be plenty of scoring in this matchup.
Prediction: Ohio State 31, Notre Dame 28
While Notre Dame has a strong defense and a balanced offense, Ohio State’s talent, particularly on offense, will likely be the deciding factor in this game. The Buckeyes’ ability to create explosive plays, led by McCord and Harrison, should be enough to overcome Notre Dame’s defense. However, the Fighting Irish are tough and resilient, and they will make this a competitive game until the final whistle. In the end, Ohio State’s playmaking ability and defensive strength will give them the edge in a hard-fought, exciting National Championship game.
Conclusion
The 2025 College Football Playoff National Championship between Ohio State and Notre Dame is shaping up to be one of the most exciting and closely contested games in recent memory. Both teams have championship-caliber talent, and they have earned their spot in the final game with impressive seasons. While Ohio State enters the game as the slight favorite, Notre Dame has the ability to pull off the upset if they can control the clock, limit big plays, and make the most of their offensive opportunities.
With the stakes higher than ever, this game promises to deliver a thrilling conclusion to the 2024-2025 college football season. Fans of both programs are eagerly awaiting what could be an instant classic, with plenty of star power on both sides of the ball. As the game approaches, all eyes will be on these two powerhouse programs to see who emerges as the 2025 College Football Playoff National Champion.
