January 16, 2025

Nolan Arenado, the St. Louis Cardinals’ star third baseman, has been at the center of trade discussions this offseason. The Los Angeles Dodgers have emerged as a potential destination for the eight-time All-Star and ten-time Gold Glove winner. Arenado’s substantial contract, which includes three years and $74 million remaining, coupled with his full no-trade clause, adds complexity to any potential deal.

Arenado’s Contract and No-Trade Clause

Arenado’s current contract, an eight-year, $260 million deal, has three years and $74 million remaining. This significant financial commitment makes him a high-profile player on the trade market. His full no-trade clause grants him the power to approve or deny any trade, adding a layer of complexity to negotiations. Reports indicate that while Arenado has a list of teams he would consider waiving his no-trade clause for—including the Dodgers, Padres, Angels, Phillies, Mets, and Red Sox—he has not yet made a decision regarding a potential move.

Potential Trade to the Dodgers

The Dodgers, fresh off a World Series victory, are reportedly interested in acquiring Arenado to bolster their roster. Analysts suggest that the Dodgers could offer a package that includes top prospects, potentially easing the financial burden for the Cardinals. For instance, the Dodgers’ top prospect, Daulton Rushing, could be a valuable asset in such a trade.

Cardinals’ Perspective

From the Cardinals’ standpoint, trading Arenado could provide financial relief and open opportunities for younger players. President of baseball operations John Mozeliak has acknowledged that while retaining Arenado is an option, trading him would help the team’s financial flexibility and create space for emerging talent.

Arenado’s Performance and Market Value

In the 2024 season, Arenado posted a .272 batting average with 16 home runs and a .719 OPS, his lowest since his rookie year. Despite this, his defensive prowess and track record of consistent performance make him a valuable asset on the trade market. His willingness to consider teams like the Dodgers indicates his desire to join a contender, aligning with the Dodgers’ status as a perennial playoff team.

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