Drafting a Running Back in the First Three Rounds: A Case for the Investment

When it comes to the NFL Draft, team strategies evolve based on trends, needs, and shifting league dynamics. One such trend in recent years has been the devaluation of the running back position, especially in the first few rounds. The argument for prioritizing quarterbacks, wide receivers, and even offensive linemen over running backs has grown stronger, and many teams have turned to a “by-committee” approach, avoiding heavy investments in a single back.

However, the case for drafting a running back in the first three rounds remains strong for various reasons, all stemming from the undeniable impact a top-tier back can have on a team’s offense. Whether through versatility, playmaking ability, or simply providing balance to a high-powered offense, drafting a running back early can pay significant dividends. Let’s explore why selecting a running back in the first three rounds might still be one of the best moves an NFL team can make.

1. Immediate Impact and Workhorse Potential

The NFL is a league that values immediate production, especially in the early rounds of the draft. For a running back, the ability to come in and make an immediate impact can’t be overstated. Players like Saquon Barkley, Christian McCaffrey, and Derrick Henry were all drafted early and immediately transformed their teams’ offenses.

While quarterbacks and wide receivers often take time to adjust to the speed of the NFL game, running backs can hit the ground running. With the right skills, vision, and understanding of the offense, a running back can play a central role as soon as they step onto the field. In fact, many top-tier running backs become “workhorse” players, meaning they touch the ball on a high percentage of offensive snaps, helping to balance the attack and keep opposing defenses on their toes.

Drafting a running back in the first three rounds allows a team to secure a player who can immediately take on a significant workload, which is crucial for a team trying to establish a dynamic and well-rounded offense. With a top-level back, a team doesn’t have to worry about relying on a committee approach or facing inconsistency at the position.

2. The Versatility of Modern Running Backs

In the modern NFL, running backs are no longer limited to just carrying the ball between the tackles. The role has evolved into something far more versatile. Many of the top backs in the league are used as dual threats, both in the running and passing game. Players like Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, and Austin Ekeler exemplify this evolution, contributing heavily both as runners and as pass-catchers out of the backfield.

This added dimension makes a high-quality running back one of the most valuable commodities in the draft. When you select a back in the first few rounds, you’re not just getting a player to tote the rock on early downs — you’re getting someone who can line up in the slot, run routes, and contribute to the passing game on third down. This is especially valuable in the modern NFL, where passing offenses dominate and versatile players can thrive.

Moreover, this dual-threat capability puts additional pressure on opposing defenses, as they can’t simply stack the box to stop the run, nor can they focus entirely on defending the pass. A back who can do it all adds a new layer of unpredictability to an offense, making it harder for defenses to scheme effectively.

3. The Importance of the Running Game in the Postseason

In the NFL, particularly in the postseason, teams that can run the ball effectively have a distinct advantage. Playoff games often involve bad weather conditions — think snow, rain, and cold temperatures — and the running game becomes even more critical when conditions make passing more difficult. A top-tier running back who can control the clock and grind out yardage on the ground is a major asset in such conditions.

Consider the success of running backs in recent Super Bowl victories. Teams like the Kansas City Chiefs, with their passing-heavy offense, leaned on the running game when it mattered most, with Damien Williams contributing crucial runs during the Chiefs’ Super Bowl win over the 49ers in 2020. Similarly, the 49ers’ NFC Championship run that same year leaned on the dominance of their run game with Raheem Mostert leading the charge.

By selecting a running back in the first three rounds, teams give themselves the opportunity to develop a dominant ground game that can be relied upon in tough, high-pressure situations. Running backs who can control the tempo of a game and wear down opposing defenses are crucial to playoff success, and they are often the difference-makers in close, high-stakes matchups.

4. High-Reward, Low-Risk Investment in the Early Rounds

Contrary to popular belief, drafting a running back in the early rounds does not necessarily come with as much risk as some critics suggest. First-round draft picks, particularly at running back, often have longer careers than most would expect. While it’s true that running backs generally have shorter careers than quarterbacks or wide receivers, many top picks at the position still end up playing for years at a high level.

Furthermore, the league’s increasing reliance on passing offenses has shifted the burden of production from a heavy reliance on running backs to a more balanced approach. This means that running backs are less likely to be overused in the same way they once were, which in turn could help extend their longevity.

In the case of an elite running back prospect, selecting them in the first round can often be considered a low-risk investment. A premier back can provide a team with immediate returns, especially if they fit well into the system. Plus, unlike quarterbacks — who require significant developmental time — running backs can come in and be productive from day one, making them a less risky investment.

5. Addressing the Shortage of Top-Tier Talent in the Backfield

One key consideration for drafting a running back early is the relative scarcity of top-tier talent at the position. While the league has seen a surge in the number of passing-game specialists and dual-threat backs, truly elite talents are still in limited supply. Securing a high-end running back early in the draft can prevent a team from being left behind in a league where playmakers at the position are at a premium.

Consider how teams like the Minnesota Vikings with Dalvin Cook or the Indianapolis Colts with Jonathan Taylor have relied on their elite running backs to anchor their offenses. These players serve as both the focal point of the attack and a critical complement to other offensive weapons. Without such a player, these teams would likely be much less dynamic offensively.

In fact, finding a running back who can both lead a team’s offense and stay healthy for the long haul is a rarity. When a team has the opportunity to draft one of these elite talents in the first three rounds, they should seize it. The scarcity of high-end running backs means that the value of securing one early is even higher.

6. Long-Term Investment and Building the Future

A running back selected early in the draft is not just an immediate contributor but a potential cornerstone of a team’s future. Like any other position, securing the right player early means locking up a potential star for several years. The right back can be the centerpiece of an offense, providing both stability and flexibility in terms of offensive schemes.

Drafting a running back in the first three rounds also provides a long-term solution at the position, rather than settling for short-term fixes or high-risk gambles. While many teams in recent years have opted for committee-based approaches, a top-tier back allows a team to build their offense around a true feature back. This not only gives offensive coordinators more options, but it also provides a sense of security when looking ahead to future seasons.