January 15, 2025

The 2025 College Football National Championship between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Ohio State Buckeyes is poised to be an exciting showdown between two of the most storied programs in college football history. This matchup brings together tradition, high-level talent, and fanbases with passionate followings. As the two teams prepare to face off, there are numerous angles to analyze, from key players and statistical trends to betting odds and expert picks. This preview will cover these areas in detail, offering insight into what to expect in this highly anticipated game.

Overview of the 2025 College Football National Championship

  • Date: January 2025
  • Location: TBD (likely a neutral-site stadium such as the Rose Bowl or Mercedes-Benz Stadium)
  • Teams:
    • Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1, Independent)
    • Ohio State Buckeyes (13-0, Big Ten Champions)

Betting Odds and Trends

As of mid-January 2025, sports books have posted early odds for the National Championship Game between Notre Dame and Ohio State. While the odds can fluctuate depending on injuries, player performances, and betting action leading up to the game, a general sense of the line can be drawn.

  • Point Spread: Ohio State -6
  • Moneyline: Ohio State -250, Notre Dame +200
  • Over/Under Total Points: 58

Early Trends and Analysis:

  • Ohio State as the Favorite: Ohio State enters the game as the clear favorite, having finished the regular season undefeated and winning the Big Ten Championship with a dominant 45-17 victory over Michigan. With one of the most powerful offenses in the nation, featuring a high-flying passing game and a strong defensive unit, Ohio State’s impressive balance has made them the team to beat.
  • Notre Dame’s Underdog Status: While Notre Dame is the underdog in this matchup, their success as an independent program and their strong defensive play throughout the season make them a formidable opponent. Head coach Marcus Freeman has built a disciplined, well-coached team, and the Irish have been known for pulling off upsets in big games.
  • Moneyline Betting: Ohio State’s moneyline odds suggest they are the more heavily favored team in terms of straight-up victory. However, Notre Dame’s high odds indicate potential value for riskier bets, particularly for those who believe in the Irish’s ability to pull off the upset.
  • Over/Under: The over/under line at 58 suggests a moderately high-scoring game, with both teams possessing explosive offenses but also solid defenses. The offensive firepower of Ohio State, combined with Notre Dame’s ability to play ball control and limit possessions, creates an interesting dynamic for bettors.

Key Players to Watch

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

  • Quarterback: Sam Hartman
    • The experienced transfer from Wake Forest has been a key addition for Notre Dame. Hartman, who has led high-powered offenses in the past, has provided stability at the quarterback position and is capable of making plays with both his arm and his legs. His ability to manage the game and make crucial throws under pressure will be a major factor in Notre Dame’s chances.
  • Running Back: Audric Estime
    • The bruising back has been the engine behind Notre Dame’s offense this season. With great size and speed, Estime is capable of grinding down defenses and controlling the tempo of the game. If Notre Dame is going to win, they will likely need to establish the run early to keep Ohio State’s offense off the field.
  • Defensive Line: Rylie Mills & Howard Cross III
    • The defensive line for Notre Dame has been a strength all season, and their ability to disrupt the Ohio State offensive line will be crucial. Mills and Cross have been two of the best defensive players for the Irish, and they will need to put pressure on Ohio State’s quarterback to limit big plays.

Ohio State Buckeyes

  • Quarterback: Kyle McCord
    • McCord, in his first year as the starter, has lived up to expectations, leading Ohio State’s explosive offense with precision passing and excellent decision-making. McCord’s connection with his receiving corps, particularly Marvin Harrison Jr., will be critical in Ohio State’s offensive game plan.
  • Wide Receiver: Marvin Harrison Jr.
    • One of the most electrifying players in college football, Harrison has been a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. His ability to create separation, make spectacular catches, and stretch the field vertically gives Ohio State a significant edge in the passing game. Look for Notre Dame’s defense to focus on limiting his impact.
  • Defensive End: J.T. Tuimoloau
    • Tuimoloau has emerged as one of the top pass rushers in the country. His ability to pressure the quarterback will be key for Ohio State as they try to disrupt Hartman’s rhythm. He is also a force against the run, which could help Ohio State shut down Notre Dame’s ground game.

Statistical Trends and Team Strengths

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

  • Total Offense: 394.5 yards per game (Ranked 45th in the nation)
  • Passing Offense: 248.4 yards per game (Ranked 49th in the nation)
  • Rushing Offense: 146.1 yards per game (Ranked 45th in the nation)
  • Total Defense: 303.3 yards per game (Ranked 13th in the nation)
  • Passing Defense: 186.4 yards per game (Ranked 6th in the nation)
  • Rushing Defense: 116.9 yards per game (Ranked 26th in the nation)

Notre Dame’s defense has been their calling card this season, particularly their ability to stop the pass. With a talented secondary and a front seven that excels against the run, Notre Dame has the tools to make life difficult for Ohio State. However, the offense has been inconsistent at times, and they will need a strong performance from Hartman and Estime to keep up with Ohio State’s prolific scoring.

Ohio State Buckeyes

  • Total Offense: 526.2 yards per game (Ranked 3rd in the nation)
  • Passing Offense: 348.9 yards per game (Ranked 2nd in the nation)
  • Rushing Offense: 177.3 yards per game (Ranked 20th in the nation)
  • Total Defense: 305.4 yards per game (Ranked 14th in the nation)
  • Passing Defense: 195.2 yards per game (Ranked 9th in the nation)
  • Rushing Defense: 110.2 yards per game (Ranked 19th in the nation)

Ohio State’s offense is one of the most potent in college football, and their ability to move the ball both through the air and on the ground presents a challenge for any defense. McCord’s quick release, paired with Harrison’s elite route running, creates big-play potential at any moment. The Buckeyes also boast a stout defense, capable of limiting both the pass and the run, giving them a balanced team that is difficult to exploit.

Key Matchups to Watch

  • Notre Dame’s Defense vs. Ohio State’s Offense: This will likely be the most significant battle of the game. Ohio State’s high-powered offense will test Notre Dame’s ability to defend against both the run and the pass. The Irish will need to play disciplined football, limit explosive plays, and find a way to contain Harrison while still generating pressure on McCord.
  • Notre Dame’s Offensive Line vs. Ohio State’s Defensive Front: Notre Dame’s offensive line has been a strength, but Ohio State’s defensive line, led by Tuimoloau, is one of the most talented in the country. If Ohio State can disrupt the Notre Dame offensive line and get to Hartman, it could be a long day for the Irish offense.
  • The Battle of Turnovers: Both teams have shown the ability to take care of the football this season, but turnovers in big games can often be the difference. If Notre Dame can generate turnovers and create short-field opportunities for their offense, they will have a chance to keep the game competitive.

Expert Predictions and Picks

  • Ohio State Wins By 7-10 Points: The Buckeyes’ offensive firepower and balanced defense give them the edge in this matchup. McCord’s ability to connect with Harrison and the rest of the receiving corps will likely be too much for Notre Dame to handle, but the Irish will make it competitive with their disciplined defense and solid ground game.
  • Over 58 Points: Given the offensive firepower of both teams, expect this game to feature a high-scoring affair. Ohio State’s ability to score quickly and Notre Dame’s commitment to ball control suggest that the over could hit in this matchup.
  • Notre Dame Covers the Spread: While Ohio State is favored, Notre Dame’s defense and ability to control the game could keep them within the six-point spread. If Hartman and Estime perform at a high level, the Irish have a shot at covering or even pulling off the upset.

 

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